The next is a contributed article by Michael McKenna, president of MWR Methods. McKenna beforehand served as deputy director of the White Home Workplace of Legislative Affairs below Donald Trump and suggested the president on power, environmental and different points.
Earlier this month, 9 former Federal Power Regulatory Commissioners determined to mount a protection of organized markets and demand that the fee require everybody to belong to at least one. They began out: “As former FERC commissioners and chairs … our strongly held view (is) that organized regional wholesale energy markets … present compelling platforms for renewable power growth and are attaining appreciable client profit.”
Sadly, they fail to supply any proof that implies organized markets “present compelling platforms (no matter these is perhaps) for renewable power growth” nor do they produce any proof that such markets “are attaining appreciable client profit.”
That is most likely as a result of there isn’t any proof that helps that. What we do know is throughout the latest exposition of the “profit” of organized markets, costs within the Electrical Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) reached an astounding $9,000/MWh, and that Texans are $50 billion poorer due to their misguided reliance on ERCOT.
Undeterred by that latest historical past, the commissioners soldiered on: “A substantial physique of knowledge, revealed in extremely credible research, establishes that substantial buyer advantages would movement from growth of organized wholesale markets.”
That “appreciable physique of knowledge” is footnoted within the letter and seems to include a single report by Brattle, paid for by who is aware of which set of deep pockets (wager Google). The report projected that an organized market within the Southeast would produce decrease prices. Predictions, nevertheless, particularly these most likely paid for by events, are lots completely different than examinations of the particular report.
It’s actually superb that 25 years into this experiment we nonetheless haven’t any capacity to say dispositively that it has both labored or failed with respect to prices. Somebody — perhaps a federal regulator — ought to do an impartial examine.
The commissioners additionally supplied, once more with out proof, that organized markets are higher for the atmosphere.
Amongst different issues, the latest ends in the PJM Interconnection public sale name into query claims of environmental superiority.
No much less an advocate than Ari Peskoe, director of Harvard Legislation College’s Electrical energy Legislation Initiative was clear with respect to the PJM public sale (though he made the remark previous to the outcomes being introduced) when he instructed Bloomberg: “The market has been trending towards renewables, however that is pulling it again. It is preventing the long run.” PJM’s latest capability public sale — through which 3,414 extra megawatts of pure fuel cleared (in comparison with 312 extra megawatts of wind and 942 extra megawatts of photo voltaic) — will do nothing to gradual PJM’s tilt in the direction of conventional fuels.
That does not even handle the fastened useful resource necessities elections in PJM, which elevated nearly 20 gigawatts and at 33.3 gigawatts had been the second highest on report (thanks, Dominion).
If any of that makes you surprise, take into consideration Exelon’s announcement that they plan to shut Byron and Dresden for value causes, coupled with the failure of Quad Cities to clear the public sale.
Exelon has no illusions. They famous that: “The result’s that prospects in Northern Illinois and all through PJM can pay for extra capability from polluting era as a substitute of securing carbon-free megawatts from Quad Cities.”
Or maybe you’d favor to ponder the New York Impartial System Operator’s (ISO) involvement within the untimely closure of Indian Level, which produces as a lot electrical energy as the entire wind and photo voltaic in New York mixed.
Or perhaps the expertise of Georgia, which between 2005 and 2018 lowered its greenhouse fuel emissions by 52 million tons, greater than all however 5 States.
Inform us once more how organized markets produce superior outcomes for the atmosphere.
Notably, the commissioners didn’t argue that organized markets result in enhanced reliability. That was clever, provided that reliability failures associated to organized market buildings in Texas and California are partially or totally liable for a whole bunch of deaths.
The Wall Road Journal lately reported that ERCOT got here inside 5 minutes of a “full collapse” this winter, and this summer time might be worse. The North American Electrical Reliability Company (NERC) lately warned that outages are potential in Texas, California, New England and the central United States — all areas with organized markets. In the meantime, NERC discovered a low danger for blackouts largely in areas with out organized markets, even within the Southeast regardless of its sizzling, humid summers.
The deaths in Texas and California are horrible sufficient, however the lack of ability of both market to correctly assign blame and impose punishment is a standing rebuke to the market design, except the “market design” particularly contemplates both tolerating or monetizing blackouts, deaths and mayhem.
Dominion understands the very actual deficiencies of PJM. Texas residents perceive the very actual deficiencies of ERCOT. Californians perceive the deficiencies of the California ISO (CAISO).
Those that advocate for mandating participation in organized markets as a matter of regulation — like those that signed the letter and their allies (like Google) — additionally perceive the pathologies related to organized markets. That is why they want Congress or FERC to mandate participation in them.
If one thing contractual must turn into obligatory, it’s most likely as a result of it’s not a good suggestion.
There are two different issues price noting concerning the commissioners’ letter.
First, there are at the very least twelve former commissioners who didn’t signal the letter. These embrace Commissioner McNamee, who famous in an electronic mail to Politico that: “The latest blackouts in Texas and California have demonstrated that the RTO experiment must be reconsidered. We needn’t export their failures to different elements of the nation. Conventional charge regulated utilities with their direct obligation to serve prospects and oversight by state public utility commissions might provide one of the best path for offering prospects with dependable, inexpensive and clear power.”
If you’d like sure outcomes with respect to era, the best, finest and most dependable strategy to get them is to embed them in an built-in useful resource plan that investor-owned utilities undergo state utility commissions for evaluation and approval.
Second, these former commissioners should perceive that the organized market mannequin is failing and flailing. The letter they lately tossed into the controversy is instructive as a result of it’s an admission that there are legit issues with the organized markets that may not be ignored.
Slightly than extra propaganda, we’d like an impartial evaluation of the financial worth of organized markets, their impact on reliability, and their report with respect to getting transmission constructed.
We additionally want some credible rationalization for why the management of regional transmission organizations (RTOs) and ISOs are accountable to nobody; they don’t seem to be elected nor appointed by elected officers, nor have they got appointed officers on their boards. The largest beneficiaries of organized markets are those that workers the markets. In CAISO, for instance, the working price range jumped from $189 million in 2019 to $201 million in 2021, with 75% going to salaries and advantages. At ISO New England, 138 executives made greater than $200,000 a 12 months in 2019. That looks as if lots.
When unelected and unaccountable individuals are left answerable for probably the most sophisticated machine ever constructed, outcomes with respect to value and reliability are going to be suboptimal.
As an alternative of wandering across the problem, the commissioners ought to have requested for a considerable examination of the report. It will have been a step in the best path.